彩色多普勒超声联合SWE参数对肝硬化失代偿期患者预后的预测价值
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郑州市第六人民医院

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The predictive value of color Doppler ultrasound combined with SWE parameters for the prognosis of patients with decompensated cirrhosis
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Zhengzhou Sixth People''s Hospital

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    摘要:

    目的 探讨彩色多普勒超声联合剪切波弹性成像(shear wave elastography,SWE)参数对肝硬化失代偿期(decompensated cirrhosis,DCC)患者12个月远期预后不良的预测价值。方法 选取2024年3月至2025年3月郑州市第六人民医院收治的86例DCC患者,入院72 h内均完成腹部彩色多普勒超声+SWE检查,并记录肝脏形态、门静脉内径(portal vein diameter,PVD)、门静脉流速(portal vein velocity,PVV)、脾静脉内径(splenic vein diameter,SVD)、脾静脉流速(splenic vein velocity,SVV)、肝动脉阻力指数(resistance index,RI)及肝脏硬度值(liver stiffness measurement,LSM)。随访时间12个月。按预后分为预后良好组与预后不良组,单因素、多因素Cox回归筛选独立危险因素;受试者操作特征(receiver operator characteristic,ROC)曲线以最大约登指数确定各指标的最佳临界值,Kaplan-Meier结合Log-rank检验对比生存差异。结果 86例患者12个月随访不良事件32例,发生率为37.21%。预后不良组肝功能Child-Pugh C级、重度腹水占比均显著高于预后良好组(均P<0.05)。预后不良组PVD、SVD、肝动脉RI、脾脏厚度、LSM均显著高于预后良好组(均P<0.05),PVV、SVV均显著低于预后良好组(均P<0.05)。ROC曲线分析显示,PVD≥1.42 cm、PVV≤10.8 cm/s、肝动脉RI≥0.71、LSM≥19.5 kPa为最佳临界值,上述4项指标的曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)均>0.75,预测效能良好。校正肝功能Child-Pugh、腹水等混杂因素后,多因素Cox 回归证实4项指标均为预后不良的独立危险因素(均HR>1,P<0.05)。Kaplan-Meier曲线显示,临界值分组患者12个月生存情况存在显著差异(均P<0.05);不同并发症对应的超声特征不同,出血以门脉血流异常为主,腹水以脾增厚突出,肝衰竭/死亡患者LSM、肝动脉RI最高。结论 彩色多普勒超声联合SWE参数可无创评估肝硬化门静脉高压(portal hypertension,PH)与纤维化程度;PVD、PVV、肝动脉RI、LSM均是预测DCC患者12个月不良预后的独立指标,临界值可用于临床高危人群的筛查分层。

    Abstract:

    Objective To explore the predictive value of color Doppler ultrasound combined with shear wave elastography (SWE) parameters for the poor prognosis of patients with decompensated cirrhosis (DCC) over a 12-month period. Methods A total of 86 patients with DCC admitted to Zhengzhou Sixth People’s Hospital from March 2024 to March 2025 were enrolled. All patients underwent abdominal color Doppler ultrasound combined with SWE examination within 72 hours of admission. And the liver morphology, portal vein diameter (PVD), portal vein velocity (PVV), splenic vein diameter (SVD), splenic vein velocity (SVV), liver artery resistance index (RI), and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) were recorded. The follow-up period was 12 months. The patients were divided into the good prognosis group and the poor prognosis group based on the prognosis. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to screen independent risk factors. The optimal cut-off values of each indicator were determined by maximum Youden index via receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve, and Kaplan-Meier method with Log-rank test was adopted to compare survival differences. Results Among 86 patients, 32 suffered adverse events within 12 months, with an incidence of 37.21%. The proportion of patients with Child-Pugh C grade liver function and severe ascites in the poor prognosis group was significantly higher than that in the good prognosis group (all P<0.05). The PVD, SVD, liver artery RI, spleen thickness, and LSM in the poor prognosis group were significantly higher than those in the good prognosis group (all P<0.05), while PVV and SVV were significantly lower than those in the good prognosis group (all P<0.05). The ROC curve analysis revealed that the optimal cut-off values: PVD≥1.42 cm, PVV≤ 10.8 cm/s, hepatic artery RI ≥0.71, LSM≥19.5 kPa, with area under the curve (AUC) of all four indicators over 0.75, showing favorable predictive efficacy. After adjusting for confounding factors including Child-Pugh grade of liver function and ascites, multivariate Cox regression verified that all four indicators as independent risk factors for poor prognosis (all HR>1, P<0.05). Kaplan-Meier curves revealed significant differences in 12-month survival between groups divided by cut-off values (all P<0.05). Ultrasound characteristics varied across complications: portal hemodynamic abnormalities dominated bleeding patients, splenomegaly was prominent in ascites patients, while patients with liver failure or death had the highest LSM and hepatic artery RI. Conclusion Color Doppler ultrasound combined with SWE parameters can non-invasively assess the portal hypertension (PH) and fibrosis degree in patients with liver cirrhosis. PVD, PVV, hepatic artery RI, and LSM are all independent indicators for predicting the 12-month poor prognosis of DCC patients, and the critical values can be used for screening and stratification of high-risk clinical populations.

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李灵芝.彩色多普勒超声联合SWE参数对肝硬化失代偿期患者预后的预测价值[J].生物医学工程学进展,2026,(4):88-92

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  • 收稿日期:2026-05-11
  • 最后修改日期:2026-09-20
  • 录用日期:2026-09-21
  • 在线发布日期: 2026-10-20
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